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著者: Adam Smith

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In all the different employments of stock, the ordinary rate of
profit varies more or less with the certainty or uncertainty of
the returns. These are, in general, less uncertain in the inland
than in the foreign trade, and in some branches of foreign trade
than in others; in the trade to North America, for example, than
in that to Jamaica. The ordinary rate of profit always rises more
or less with the risk. It does not, however, seem to rise in
proportion to it, or so as to compensate it completely.
Bankruptcies are most frequent in the most hazardous trades. The
most hazardous of all trades, that of a smuggler, though, when
the adventure succeeds, it is likewise the most profitable, is
the infallible road to bankruptcy. The presumptuous hope of
success seems to act here as upon all other occasions, and to
entice so many adventurers into those hazardous trades, that
their competition reduces the profit below what is sufficient to
compensate the risk.

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